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Provincial Economic Trends Service

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Provincial Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Provincial Outlook report, which presents the short-term outlook for Canada’s provinces.

Executive Summary | 16 pages | December 2016 | Marie-Christine Bernard | The Conference Board of Canada

Territorial Outlook 2016-17: Bottom of the Commodity Cycle

The economic outlook for Canada’s three territories is weak in the short term. The slump in mineral and metal prices and difficulty in getting financing have led to mine shutdowns and new developments being put on indefinite hold. Real economic growth across the territories is expected to average just 1.8 per cent over the 2016 to 2020 period. Public sector investment in infrastructure will help the territorial economies over the near term. The mining sector, however, is cyclical. As commodity prices start to recover, the outlook is expected to improve for the territories by the early 2020s. Real GDP growth will average 3 per cent in the 2020–30 period as new mining projects start producing before the end of the decade in all three territories. This mix of uncertainty and promise in the territories means that you need the most comprehensive economic forecast available. The Conference Board’s unique Territorial Forecasting Model provides an economic and fiscal outlook for each of the territories. Join two Conference Board economists for the details of the recently-released Territorial Outlook—Summer 2016. Pedro Antunes, Executive Director, Forecasting and Analysis and Deputy Chief Economist, will set the Canadian and international context for the territorial outlook. Marie-Christine Bernard, Associate Director, Provincial and Territorial Outlook, will deliver the economic outlook for Nunavut, the Northwest Territories, and Yukon through the year 2030.

Recorded Webinar | November 2016 | Pedro Antunes, Marie-Christine Bernard | The Conference Board of Canada

Heads Above Water? Provincial Fiscal Outlook 2016-17

Most provincial governments are facing sluggish economic growth. At the same time, they are under pressure to control their expenditures in the face of big-ticket spending priorities such as the health system. As a result, the provincial fiscal positions range from solid surpluses to discouraging deficits. In recent years, numerous provinces have introduced new budget measures to increase revenues, including higher income and sales taxes. How are these measures impacting both the balance sheets and the economic outlooks for each province? As provinces approach their fall fiscal updates and prepare for their 2017-18 budgets, don't miss this opportunity to get a nation-wide update on the fiscal positions of the provinces individually and collectively. In this webinar, the Conference Board will focus on the medium-term budgetary status of all 10 provinces, based on the latest economic and fiscal projections. This webinar is based on the Conference Board’s new Fiscal Snapshot publications, which provides an annual assessment of the fiscal and budgetary position for each province.

Recorded Webinar | October 2016 | Daniel Fields, Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for British Columbia: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of British Columbia examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Alberta: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Alberta examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Saskatchewan: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Saskatchewan examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Manitoba: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Manitoba examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 27 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Ontario: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Ontario examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 27 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Quebec: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Quebec examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.This document contains both the French and the English versions of the articles.

Report | 33 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for New Brunswick: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of New Brunswick examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 27 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Nova Scotia: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Nova Scotia examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Prince Edward Island: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Prince Edward Island examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Newfoundland and Labrador: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Newfoundland and Labrador examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 26 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Provincial Outlook report, which presents the short-term outlook for Canada’s provinces.

Report | 81 pages | August 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

L’impact au Québec de l’Accord économique et commercial global avec l’Europe

L’Accord économique et commercial global (AECG) avec l’Europe est une occasion en or pour les entreprises du Québec d’intégrer plus massivement le marché de l’Union européenne. Le resserrement des liens commerciaux avec l’Europe représente l’une des éventuelles avenues pour augmenter le niveau des exportations et la croissance économique. Une nouvelle recherche de l’Institut du Québec indique que la réduction des tarifs douaniers établie par l’AECG permettra d’accroître les exportations à hauteur de 324 M$ par année d’ici 2022. L’AECG donnera aux entreprises du Québec un accès à la plupart des marchés publics européens, abaissera de façon significative certains tarifs douaniers, et entraînera une plus grande uniformisation des certifications. Certes, les grandes entreprises du Québec bénéficieront de l’Accord, mais le potentiel de croissance des ventes en Europe généré par la signature de l’Accord est plus grand chez les PME. Les industries innovantes qui mettent régulièrement en marché de nouveaux produits possèdent des stratégies gagnantes qui leur permettront de profiter de l’accord. Joignez-vous à Jean-Guy Côté, codirecteur de l’Institut du Québec, pour cette séance où les grandes conclusions de l’étude seront dévoilées.

Recorded Webinar | August 2016 | Jean-Guy Côté | Le Conference Board du Canada

Note de conjoncture provinciale: Résumé Été 2016

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture provinciale qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme de chacune des provinces canadiennes.

Résumé | 18 pages | August 2016 | Marie-Christine Bernard | Le Conference Board du Canada

Provincial Outlook Executive Summary: Summer 2016

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Provincial Outlook report, which presents the short-term outlook for Canada's provinces.

Executive Summary | 16 pages | August 2016 | Marie-Christine Bernard | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Newfoundland and Labrador: Spring 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Newfoundland and Labrador examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 36 pages | June 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Prince Edward Island: Spring 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Prince Edward Island examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.

Report | 34 pages | June 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

Provincial Outlook Economic Forecast for Quebec: Spring 2016

This quarterly economic forecast for the province of Quebec examines the economic outlook for the province, including gross domestic product (GDP), output by industry and labour market conditions.This document contains both the French and the English versions of the articles.

Report | 42 pages | June 2016 | The Conference Board of Canada

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